Wait for it. It will pass.
Hurry, throw a party before the more deadly AR-16 comes out next year
The AR-16 was released in the late 50’s. (As a cheaper, easier to produce weapon than the AR-10)
That would be the AR looking gun made out of a converted Mac-10 lower so it’s legally full auto.
The beginning of the drop in crime coincided with the “Broken Window” model of policing that new York and other large cities adopted. They like to claim credit.
But it also dropped in small towns that didn’t have the same trendy police tactics.
The best explanation I’ve seen is that abortion became protected, so miserable women weren’t forced to give birth in terrible conditions, and subsequently there weren’t as many impoverished, abused children that turned to crime.
Guess we’ll find out in a few years as the unwanted pregnancies start to tick up and economic mobility continues to stagnate.
It’s because homicides, as most other crimes, went through the roof during covid and are now returning to pre covid levels.
In Criminal Justice isolating variables is basically impossible in ‘field’ conditions. So many factors contribute to criminality that it’s hard to connect any one policy change to an outcome firmly. Plus there’s also the issue that different changes are being implemented simultaneously.
There is also another theory about the dropoff being caused by reduction of lead in environments.
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Violent crime in small doses seem to shrink.
But Mass shootings though?
Ridin with Biden.
Thanks Obama!
Before we start to pat ourselves on the back: How does the number of murders in the U. S. compare to the rest of the world? This is really the only meaningful metric, otherwise it’s like a chain smoker congratulating themselves from dropping from 3 packs a day to 2.
*"... there are lies, damn lies, and statistics." * *edit*: The link I posted referred to a high murder rate for U.S. Virgin Islands (not contential U.S.). So, it's not relevant to the conversation. Thanks for calling me out on it.deleted by creator
Yeah, seems the US is somewhere around 34th according to this source.
Anyway, comparing murder rates between countries is generally fraught. Statistics tend to vary wildly even in different geographical areas, and the US is capital L Large. Rural and suburban US are often very competitive with other developed nations, but ghetto US is down in the gutter.
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Dropping from 3 packs a day to 2 is great progress, IMO? I’d congratulate someone on that.
Well, no one else is so hit me with it.
I’m lying. My mom said she was very proud of me she believes I can quit.
Hey I’m super glad to hear you’re making a positive change. Quitting is tough, and it can be a long road. One day at a time. Congrats on your progress so far, I also believe you can do it!
That source seems to be claiming that the US’s Virgin Islands is the 4th highest at 49 per cap. America overall averages closer to 7.
Thats US Virgin Islands at 4th with a rate of 49.3. The source you provided shows the US has a homicide rate of 4.96. Its a little unclear if the source is using murder and homicide interchangeably or not.
Nope. The media will continue to bring crime forward as a story and the perception of people will stay constant. If I had to guess, people will continue to say that crime is getting worse, or it’s the worst it has ever been.
Crime statistics are literally just made up. Your local PD decided whats a crime and whats not, it could be the same exact thing but a crime one day and an incident the next. Fight at private high school? Not a crime. Fight at the low income area public high school? Crime.
Remember less that a year ago when Covid went from a pandemic to nonexistent?
That was because state governments stopped collecting the data, not because covid went away.
It was also because we have medicine now and Covid isn’t swamping the ER with cases. Most people can just take the medicine at home.
Yes. Vaccinated peoples don’t tend to need ventilators. As much.
But that’s not why numbers stopped being collected. They stopped being collected because of political consequences for reelection for the lack of action elected officials took. So their response was to do less.
I am 2 jabs in and zero covid infections in. Because I’m not a petulant 5 year old, I still wear a mask, and I still social distance.
Can’t wait for an incubator to infect me and put me on a ventilator.
The infection rates of COVID are still variable and it hasn’t really gone away. The dangers still exist, for the most part. However, I personally think it is going the way of the flu and its almost there.
The biggest danger of COVID was that it was new, there were no vaccines and nobody had an immunity to it. It was a quick killer and nobody knew why, yet
TBH, it’s good practice to keep wearing a mask if you want to limit yourself from getting sick. However, I do believe that the risk of death or needing a ventilator has gone down significantly. Post-infection treatments exist and the virus isn’t much of a mystery anymore.
I have always tried to socially distance even before it was a thing. (Malls were always an unpleasant experience for me. I can’t stand smelling other people as they walk past me…)
My point, is that the risk of being put on a ventilator is much lower even without masks or social distancing. You do you, by all means! It just seems that being as fearful of it is not necessary any more. (It’s still a nasty little virus, don’t get me wrong.)
IMO, covid has gone the way of leaded water.
Long covid is still a thing.
But some folks don’t want help.
Cool, I can wear this mask for years.
They stopped collecting because it is too expensive. Some cities are monitoring virus titer through waste water. Hospitals, etc are not regularly testing or reporting. Source - know the state deputy directory for infectious disease prevention and control. Their department doubled during the pandemic and has now been cut in half. Epidemiologists are expensive, as are national guard personnel used for contact tracing.
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A ton of crime does go unreported in general, so yeah. Numbers for crimes that are less severe than murder are probably way off.
Murder numbers would be fairly accurate, I would imagine. If those numbers are significantly off, there are some serious issues with reporting.
Yeah. We aren’t reporting any crime. Like when the cops are told to round up the homeless because it’s cutting into the city’s corrupt recycling program, so they arrest them for nothing just to get them off the street.
We are talking murders. People don’t not report them. And if someone goes missing, we don’t typically just let it go either.
Theft and assault? Those are going to be all over the map. But murders tend to be really accurate and sort of impervious to the “dark figure of crime.”
The missing part…yes they do. They absolutely do. There are a fuck ton of missing people who are most likely dead. The solve rate on missing persons is pretty damn low.
According to the NamUs database, there are 600,000 people declared missing every year. Alongside that statistic, there are 4,400 unidentified bodies discovered every year. That means only 0.7333% of people who go missing are found and unable to be identified.
https://www.wvnstv.com/digital-desk/how-many-missing-persons-are-found-in-the-u-s-yearly/
Stats show that the US has about a 6% murder rate per 100k. That’s about 250k murders per year, give or take.
And you’re talking about 4K bodies or 6k unsolved murders? Bro.
Over 95% of murders are reported to the police in the USA. So yeah, not sure what you’re trying to show with those numbers, but like I said originally, murders in 1st world nations aren’t prone to even near the same level misinterpretation as say theft or even sexual assault (as most go unreported).
Not even sure what compelled you to argue this.
PS: just from a logical argument point of view, what good is a numerator without a denominator?
You literally said if someone goes missing that people don’t let it go…when in fact they absolutely do. And it’s at an alarming rate…I don’t know why you’re annoyed at me with the numbers I have presented. Be pissed at the police.
Wtf are you talking about bro. 6k people out of a quarter million is nothing lol
Nope, positive news doesn’t sell views
No.
Nope. Media will never allow that. Gotta keep us at each other’s throats so we don’t get our shit together and start holding politicians accountable.
A county ball? What is this word you speak?
Crime did rise nationwide in 2020 and 2021. The disruption caused by a deadly pandemic, a record increase in the availability of guns, a pullback of policing in some cities and perhaps other factors combined to create a surge in homicides and other crimes.
That national tide has started to recede, but public perception has not kept pace.
The FBI’s annual report on the nation’s crime statistics showed a 6% decline in homicides in 2022. The drop exceeded what most crime experts expected, said Jeff Asher, a crime data analyst and consultant whose AH Datalytics’ site is a widely cited source of information.
So we’ve seen a return to normal lol. That normal being a relatively low and mostly leveled off decline due to lead being removed from our diets lol.
https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/ft_2022.10.31_violent-crime_02c.png
https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/27/politics/uniform-crime-report-2020/index.html
https://cde.ucr.cjis.gov/LATEST/webapp/#/pages/explorer/crime/crime-trend
They’re not. The article is just lying to you because they want to restore trust and faith in the system in people.
Half of all murders went unsolved in 2020. Don’t forget that.
What does that have to do with less people being killed? Even if they went unsolved there are less overall.
Why commit regular homicide when you can go out and blow away dozens of random people at Target?
