With Carney's Liberals now competing with the Conservatives for right-of-centre voters in the next election, the left-of-centre voters are open to the NDP to grab.
To be fair to them, they’re dealing with a lot “strategic” voters. Two elections ago their votes really weren’t all that far behind the other two. For their 3.5mil votes they got ~25 seats and for their 5.5mil votes the Liberals got ~155; since people only see seats they just assume that NDP aren’t popular. This last time people got really “strategic” because the Conservatives are fucking awful and going even harder at it than ever. Every time we have a cycle that, things get just a little bit worse and now we have to claw ourselves out of it from so much further down the hole.
Even in first past the post anyone can win if you vote for them. The problem with the system is the scare tactics centrists can use to get votes from progressives. We need ranked choice really badly.
Right-wing lunatics get elected -> things get worse -> people vote for neoliberals who promise to make everything better -> things fail to get better -> Conservatives promise to go even harder this time -> repeat forever.
There was a neat little meme going around illustrating the cycle and pointing out which part of it Canada, the UK, and the USA were in, but I can’t find it right now.
A perfect chance for the NDP to do what it does best and completely miss another opportunity.
To be fair to them, they’re dealing with a lot “strategic” voters. Two elections ago their votes really weren’t all that far behind the other two. For their 3.5mil votes they got ~25 seats and for their 5.5mil votes the Liberals got ~155; since people only see seats they just assume that NDP aren’t popular. This last time people got really “strategic” because the Conservatives are fucking awful and going even harder at it than ever. Every time we have a cycle that, things get just a little bit worse and now we have to claw ourselves out of it from so much further down the hole.
Even in first past the post anyone can win if you vote for them. The problem with the system is the scare tactics centrists can use to get votes from progressives. We need ranked choice really badly.
Right-wing lunatics get elected -> things get worse -> people vote for neoliberals who promise to make everything better -> things fail to get better -> Conservatives promise to go even harder this time -> repeat forever.
There was a neat little meme going around illustrating the cycle and pointing out which part of it Canada, the UK, and the USA were in, but I can’t find it right now.
Ranked choice voting and proportional representation was our only way to break the cycle and Trudeau fucked it up.